Monday, June 23, 2008

InBev/BUD


Does this deal make too much sense?

There is considerable dissonance in the press this month as writers strain for an angle and find none.

Forbes online this weekend wrote a non-story about how difficult it would be for SABMiller to upset this apple cart, either by launching a counter offer for Bud or itself becoming the target for InBev. Barron’s opines that while said combo may be good for SABMiller due to potential confusion created, worldwide #4 Heineken may be the loser if they can’t find a partner.

Alrighty then. Maybe the angle is this: aside from the recent spike around the merger talks, BUD’s stock has been about flat (not counting dividends) over the last 5 years. InBev has done a better job increasing shareholder value. The offer is a god one. BUD should sell.


long BUD

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