I just read this, of all places, on a poker message board. I DON'T AGREE WITH ALL OF IT. I do think it's a thoughtful take on the last couple of months that has been in my opinion a big waste of money, especially the conventions.
How Obama Lost The Election
Obama supporters hate the fact that Palin basically has given the Republicans the ultra shot in the arm momentum boost that is going to win the election for McCain. She did it the same way Obama got his momentum, not thru any achievements, but through a great speech and hitting the nail on the head as far as relating to the American people. Say what you want, Palin basically beat Obama at his own game, and she is no idiot. Alaska is not like a tumbleweed town in Arkansas, and Palin showed plenty of moxie and strength to not only rise to the top position there, but also to have the state thriving, which is obvious by her huge approval rating there.Compound this with the fact the Obama camp has been their own worst enemy for several months now.
- Obama has acted way too pompous
- Made statements as if the election was already over
- Made his own presidential seal
- Used the ridiculous Greek columns
- Made complimentary statements to Pennsylvanians in that state and then turned around and blasted them behind their backs
- Made it painfully obvious that he was "centering" himself so as to try and play both sides of the fence on many issues....
- The Saddleback debate deeply hurt Obama. McCain came across as extemely Presidential with decisive answers - immediate and clear responses, while Obama came across horrible, with hesitation and evasiveness and the infamous "above my paygrade" answer about when life begins.
- I think the pig and the lipstick comment is the beginning of the end. Anyone could have and should have seen this would work against Obama, so the bad desperate advice is starting and the mistakes will get more desperate and bigger from here on out.
In the majority of the most recent polls there were some very telling stats. The independent voters were huge for McCain, and when asked the question if you needed advice for a serious problem in your life who would you turn to, McCain crushed Obama. Everything points to McCain being much more trusted that Obama, which ultimately I think lends itself to a much higher turnout for McCain. Why such a huge disparity in the trust department? We all know that answer.
McCain - crystal clear as far as his record - you may not like some of his policies, but it's easy to see he loves his country and has served it well.Obama - not so clear record, little experience, hence also the stat that much more people perceive McCain as a doer and Obama as a talker. Add to that all of the guilt by association issues with Obama, the radical ties etc.
Fair or not, when given a preponderance of circumstantial evidence people will assume guilt.
It all adds up to McCain easily winning in November.
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